Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225627           6          44          41           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000795178          13          47          35           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   7.81000e-08           9          68          20           3           0        B3.5
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            19.75       49.75       26.25        4.25        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)