Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226037           4          36          48          12           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000796937          15          47          33           5           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   8.83000e-08           5          63          28           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            18.75       46.50       29.50        5.25        0.00     B5.1
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)