Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226237           4          35          47          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000803211          12          46          37           5           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   8.78000e-08           5          64          27           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            12.50       49.00       32.25        6.25        0.00     B6.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)