Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226165           4          36          47          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000802710          12          46          37           5           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   9.06000e-08           5          65          26           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                             9.75       52.75       31.50        6.00        0.00     B6.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)