Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226072           4          35          48          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000801865          13          45          37           5           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   8.44000e-08           6          62          29           3           0        B4.2
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            18.50       45.50       30.75        5.25        0.00     B5.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)