Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226135           4          37          46          13           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000800060          14          47          34           5           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   8.78000e-08           5          64          27           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            18.25       47.25       29.00        5.50        0.00     B5.1
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)