Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226146           4          36          47          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000801040          13          48          33           6           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   8.80000e-08           5          64          27           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            18.00       47.25       29.00        5.75        0.00     B5.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)