Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226156           4          36          47          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000802134          13          45          37           5           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   8.88000e-08           5          65          27           3           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =             5          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            18.25       46.50       30.00        5.25        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)