Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226257           4          35          47          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000804069          12          45          38           5           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   9.29000e-08           5          61          30           4           0        B5.0
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            18.00       45.25       31.00        5.75        0.00     B5.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)