Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226000           4          38          46          12           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000793302          14          46          35           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   7.85000e-08           9          68          20           3           0        B3.5
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            19.50       48.00       27.50        5.00        0.00     B5.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)