Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225991           5          38          46          11           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000790940          13          50          32           5           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   7.69000e-08          10          67          20           3           0        B3.4
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            19.75       48.75       26.75        4.75        0.00     B4.9
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)