Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226031           4          37          47          12           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000792398          14          46          35           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   7.38000e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.0
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.00       47.75       27.50        4.75        0.00     B4.9
 
realized                                                                                      B1.3