Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226356           4          35          47          14           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000799204          14          47          34           5           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   8.20000e-08           6          68          23           3           0        B3.9
est. ISN   =            12          21          58          19           2           0        B2.9
 
together                            11.25       52.00       30.75        6.00        0.00     B5.9
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)