Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226699           2          36          47          15           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000803214          12          46          37           5           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   8.35000e-08           6          63          28           3           0        B4.1
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            17.50       46.50       30.25        5.75        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)