Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226979           2          35          49          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000802926          12          46          37           5           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   7.86000e-08           9          68          20           3           0        B3.5
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            18.25       47.50       28.75        5.50        0.00     B5.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)