Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227468           3          31          54          12           0        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000804162          12          45          38           5           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   8.16316e-08           6          70          21           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            18.00       46.50       30.50        5.00        0.00     B5.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)