Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228687           2          28          60          10           0        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000808348          11          45          40           4           0        B7.4
GOES Xray  =   8.00637e-08           8          67          22           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            18.00       45.00       32.75        4.25        0.00     B5.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)