Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228808           2          25          63           9           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000805725          11          45          40           4           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   7.96415e-08           8          68          21           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            18.00       44.50       33.25        4.00        0.25     B5.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)