Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228849           2          24          64           9           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000806060          11          45          40           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   8.14507e-08           6          70          21           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            17.50       44.75       33.50        4.00        0.25     B5.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)