Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228799           2          25          63           9           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000804058          12          45          38           5           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   8.22497e-08           6          66          25           3           0        B4.0
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            17.75       44.00       33.75        4.25        0.25     B5.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)