Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228612           2          28          59          11           0        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000796514          14          48          33           5           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   7.99000e-08           8          67          22           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =             5          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            18.75       45.75       30.75        4.75        0.00     B5.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)