Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228625           2          27          60          11           0        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000799710          14          47          34           5           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   8.20000e-08           6          68          23           3           0        B3.9
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            18.25       45.50       31.50        4.75        0.00     B5.1
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)