Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228568           2          28          59          11           0        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000801698          13          46          36           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   8.51000e-08           6          63          28           3           0        B4.1
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            18.00       44.25       33.00        4.75        0.00     B5.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)