Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228532          11          44          41           4           0        B7.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000799343          19          44          30           7           0        B5.2
GOES Xray  =   8.40739e-08           6          63          28           3           0        B4.1
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            21.75       47.75       27.00        3.50        0.00     B3.9
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)