Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228404          14          42          40           4           0        B7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000797880          20          44          29           7           0        B5.2
GOES Xray  =   7.78324e-08           9          68          20           3           0        B3.5
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            23.50       48.50       24.50        3.50        0.00     B3.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)