Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228457          12          43          41           4           0        B7.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000799599          19          44          30           7           0        B5.2
GOES Xray  =   7.54805e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            23.25       48.75       24.75        3.25        0.00     B3.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)