Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228052          14          45          37           4           0        B6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000797932          20          44          29           7           0        B5.2
GOES Xray  =   8.00034e-08           8          67          22           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            23.25       49.00       24.25        3.50        0.00     B3.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)