Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227290          16          47          33           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000792211          25          48          21           6           0        B3.7
GOES Xray  =   7.91893e-08           8          68          21           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            25.00       50.75       21.00        3.25        0.00     B3.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)