Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227296          16          47          33           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000792729          25          47          22           6           0        B4.0
GOES Xray  =   8.09381e-08           6          69          22           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            24.50       50.75       21.50        3.25        0.00     B3.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)