Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227322          16          48          32           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000797538          21          44          28           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   9.04963e-08           5          64          27           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            23.25       49.00       24.00        3.75        0.00     B3.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)