Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227226          17          48          32           3           0        B5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000797506          21          44          28           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   8.80540e-08           5          63          28           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            23.50       48.75       24.25        3.50        0.00     B3.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)