Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227206          17          47          32           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000797627          21          44          28           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   8.35312e-08           5          64          28           3           0        B4.1
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            23.50       48.75       24.25        3.50        0.00     B3.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)