Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227113          17          46          33           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000793467          23          48          22           7           0        B4.0
GOES Xray  =   8.91395e-08           5          65          26           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            24.00       49.75       22.50        3.75        0.00     B3.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)