Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227052          17          47          33           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000792400          25          47          22           6           0        B4.0
GOES Xray  =   7.55710e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            26.00       50.50       20.75        2.75        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)