Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227057          16          48          33           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000795289          22          45          26           7           0        B4.7
GOES Xray  =   7.69278e-08          10          67          20           3           0        B3.4
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            24.75       50.00       22.00        3.25        0.00     B3.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)