Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226946          18          49          30           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000793574          23          48          22           7           0        B4.0
GOES Xray  =   7.38523e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.0
est. ISN   =             5          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            25.75       51.25       20.00        3.00        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)