Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226889          18          48          30           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000793751          23          48          22           7           0        B4.0
GOES Xray  =   7.10481e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.7
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            26.25       51.25       19.50        3.00        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)