Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226918          18          49          30           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000794968          22          46          25           7           0        B4.4
GOES Xray  =   7.43950e-08          11          67          20           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            22.00       52.00       22.50        3.50        0.00     B3.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)