Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226641          21          47          28           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000794468          22          47          24           7           0        B4.2
GOES Xray  =   1.29398e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            38.75       42.50       15.75        3.00        0.00     B1.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)