Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226549          22          46          29           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000791685          25          50          20           5           0        B3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.72690e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            39.50       43.25       15.00        2.25        0.00     B1.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)