Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226574          22          47          28           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000795332          22          45          26           7           0        B4.7
GOES Xray  =   1.25798e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            38.75       42.25       16.25        2.75        0.00     B1.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)