Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226631          21          47          28           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000797491          21          44          28           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   1.02050e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            35.00       43.25       18.25        3.50        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                      B4.2