Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226391          22          44          31           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000791932          25          50          20           5           0        B3.7
GOES Xray  =   5.60048e-09          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            39.75       42.50       15.50        2.25        0.00     B1.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)