Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226565          22          47          28           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000800337          19          45          29           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   6.90091e-09          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            29.75       47.75       19.00        3.50        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)