Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226580          22          47          27           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000799621          19          44          30           7           0        B5.2
GOES Xray  =   8.26518e-09          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            30.00       47.75       18.75        3.50        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)