Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226542          22          46          29           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000801231          19          43          31           7           0        B5.2
GOES Xray  =   1.39758e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            12          21          58          19           2           0        B2.9
 
together                            30.75       45.75       20.25        3.25        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B1.3