Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227028          17          47          33           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000814931          18          45          28           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   4.86759e-08          48          46           5           1           0        B1.1
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            33.50       44.50       18.75        3.25        0.00     B2.2
 
realized                                                                                      B2.9