Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227027          17          47          33           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000815517          18          45          28           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   4.05957e-08          55          42           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            35.00       43.75       18.00        3.25        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B2.7