Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227024          18          47          32           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000817408          18          45          28           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   3.65254e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            33.50       43.50       19.25        3.75        0.00     B2.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)