Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226967          18          48          31           3           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000818287          17          44          30           9           0        B6.1
GOES Xray  =   2.98259e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            36.50       42.25       18.00        3.25        0.00     B1.9
 
realized                                                                                      B1.5